Is it COVID or the Flu? MoH Warns of Aggressive Influenza A Spike Across Kenya

Christopher Ajwang
4 Min Read

If you’ve noticed a sudden wave of “heavy colds” among your colleagues or family members this week, you aren’t alone. On Thursday, March 5, 2026, the Ministry of Health (MoH) officially sounded the alarm over a significant spike in influenza cases across the country.

 

Director-General for Health, Dr. Patrick Amoth, confirmed that surveillance data from the Kenya National Public Health Institute (KNPHI) shows a higher-than-average respiratory illness activity, particularly in Nairobi, the Highlands, and the Lake region.

 

1. The 2026 “Super Flu” vs. The Common Cold

While many are mistaking this surge for a resurgence of COVID-19, health experts have confirmed that the primary culprit is Influenza A. Unlike a standard cold, this year’s strain is being described by patients as “harsher,” with lingering fatigue and intense joint pain.

 

Common Symptoms to Watch For:

 

Sudden High Fever: Usually hits rapidly and lasts 3–5 days.

 

Respiratory Distress: A persistent dry cough and sore throat.

 

Body Aches: Intense muscle and bone pain (Myalgia).

 

Extreme Fatigue: Feeling “wiped out” for up to 10 days.

 

Congestion: Blocked ears and nose, often leading to secondary sinus infections.

 

2. Why Now? The “Seasonal Double-Peak”

According to the MoH, Kenya typically experiences two flu peaks annually:

 

Peak 1: Late February to May (Coinciding with the Long Rains).

 

Peak 2: July to October (Coinciding with the cold season and short rains).

 

The current spike is perfectly aligned with the onset of the March 2026 rainy season. Viral droplets thrive in the cold, wet conditions currently affecting Nairobi, Nakuru, and the Western Highlands.

3. The “High-Risk” Groups

While most people recover within a week with supportive care (rest and fluids), the Ministry has warned that the following groups are at high risk of progressing to pneumonia or sepsis:

 

Children under 5: Respiratory systems are still developing.

 

The Elderly (65+): Weakened immune systems.

 

Pregnant Women: Increased strain on heart and lungs.

 

People with Underlying Conditions: Specifically those with diabetes, cancer, or HIV/AIDS.

 

4. 5 Practical Steps to Protect Your Family

The government has not issued a mandate, but Dr. Amoth is “strongly encouraging” the following hygiene protocols:

 

Hand Hygiene: Use alcohol-based sanitisers or soap and water frequently.

 

Respiratory Etiquette: Cover your mouth and nose when sneezing; use your elbow, not your hands.

 

Mask Up: If you are in crowded places like Matatus, markets, or churches, consider wearing a mask—especially if you feel slightly unwell.

 

Stay Home: If you have a fever, do not go to work or school. You are most contagious during the first 4 days of symptoms.

 

The Vaccine: Flu vaccines are available in most private hospitals and major pharmacies. While they don’t always prevent infection, they drastically reduce the risk of hospitalization.

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